BUFFALO QUANT DESK
Player cards · Ducks

Beckett Sennecke

Right Wing, Ducks. 10 goals and 13 assists in 19 games, 21st of 401 forwards in points per game. Numbers through November 11, 2026.

This season

How to read a skater card

Points are goals plus assists, the big number. The rank compares his points per game with every NHL forward or defenseman who has played 8 or more games this season (401 forwards, 209 defensemen). Forwards in that group average 0.55 points a game; defensemen, 0.37.

Chances created is what his own shots were worth in goals. Every shot that reaches the net or misses it has a chance of going in, based on where it came from and what kind of shot it was; add them up and you get his chances. Shots at an empty net don't count. Forwards average 0.22 a game; defensemen, 0.07. Finishing is his goals on those shots minus his chances: positive means he's scored more than the chances were worth. Finishing bounces around much more than chances do. For forwards with 40+ games in back-to-back seasons (673 pairs, 2023-24 to 2025-26), on a scale where 1 means one season perfectly predicts the next and 0 means not at all, chances per game scored 0.87 and finishing 0.24. So a big plus or minus early on often fades.

Our rating is our best guess at how many points he'll score per game from here on. It blends his assists and the chances he creates this season with every season back to 2023-24, counting last season half as much as this one and each season before half as much again, and pulls a little toward the average forward or defenseman so a hot or cold month can't take over. Goals come from those chances, adjusted for how well he's finished over his career; that adjustment is pulled toward average, because finishing carries over from year to year much less than chances do. How we checked it: we set it up using 2024-25, then had it project every skater's rest of 2025-26 after 17 games, using only player stats known at the time (632 skaters). Its projections missed a player's actual rest-of-season points by 6.4 on average. Going by each player's pace at that point missed by 9.5; going by last season, 7.3. Projected season totals assume he plays every remaining game; injuries and lineup changes will move them.

On the back: power-play goals (scored while the other team was short-handed by a penalty), shots, close-in and rebound shots, faceoffs (shown once he's taken 50), and hits, blocked shots, takeaways and giveaways. Those last four are recorded by each rink's scorers.

What's not here yet: ice time. Our feed doesn't include shift data yet, so nothing on these cards is per minute or "while he's on the ice." That's next.

The source: the NHL's own play-by-play and our model of each shot's chance of going in, the same one behind our Sabres stories. We checked every player's goal total against the league feed's own running count. Cards marked small sample have fewer than 8 games. Not affiliated with the NHL or any team; card designs are our own.