Player cards · Sabres

Colten Ellis

Goalie, Sabres. +2.2 goals saved compared with an average goalie this season, 20 of 75 goalies, over 6 games and 147 shots on goal. Numbers through November 7, 2026.

SABRES
2026-27

Colten Ellis

GOALIE

+2.2

goals saved vs. an
average goalie
20 of 75 goalies this season

6Games

0.891Save rate

0.738Close-in save

Goals saved vs. average, running total, game by game (dashed line = average)

SMALL SAMPLE

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Colten Ellis

Season	Team	Games	Shots	Save	vs. Avg
2025-26	BUF	16	455	0.903	-0.6
2026-27	BUF	6	147	0.891	+2.2

Blended rating: +0.20 goals saved per 100 shots (25 of 75). It mixes this season with seasons back to 2023-24 and pulls toward average, so a hot or cold dozen games doesn't take over.

Facing 147 shots this season, an average goalie would have a 0.876 save rate; he's at 0.891. League close-in save rate (within 20 ft): 0.812.

This season

Save rate 0.891; an average goalie facing his shots would be at 0.876. League: 0.890.
Close-in save rate 0.738 on 42 close-in shots. League: 0.812.
Blended rating +0.20 goals saved per 100 shots, 25 of 75.
Small sample. Fewer than 300 shots this season; these numbers can move a lot.

How to read a card

Goals saved vs. an average goalie is the big number. Every shot that reaches the net or misses it has a chance of going in, based on where it came from and what kind of shot it was. Add up those chances on every shot a goalie faced and you get how many goals an average goalie would have allowed. Subtract the goals he actually allowed. Positive means he stopped more than an average goalie would have.

Save rate is the share of shots on goal he stopped; the league's is 0.890 this season. Close-in save is the same for shots from within 20 feet, the hardest ones; the league's is 0.812.

The blended rating on the back is our best estimate of how good he is, though goalie numbers bounce around a lot even over half a season. It adds this season's shots to half the weight of his shots from past seasons (back to 2023-24), plus 600 shots of league-average goaltending, so a dozen games can't swing it too far. As this season's shots pile up, they take over.

The source: the NHL's own play-by-play and our expected-goals model, the same one behind our Sabres stories. Cards marked small sample have fewer than 300 shots this season. Not affiliated with the NHL or any team; card designs are our own.