Bills stories

November 10, 2026

What the Bills get in Amani Hooker: a ball hawk, and a new partner for Cole Bishop
Amani Hooker has 5 of Tennessee's 8 interceptions and tackles well. He also steps into the spot next to Cole Bishop, where the pass defense has tracked with whoever's played there.

November 10, 2026

Bills 23, Vikings 6: we nailed Buffalo's half and missed Minnesota's
We projected the Bills for 23.4. They scored 23. We projected the Vikings for 22.8. They scored 6. Five of our seven calls hit; here's every one, graded.

November 9, 2026

Bills at Vikings: our prediction for Monday night
As close as games get: our model projects Bills 23.4, Vikings 22.8. That small Buffalo edge shows up at nearly every scoreline and gives the Bills a 53% chance to win.

November 9, 2026

Josh Allen and the Bills offense vs. the NFL's best defense
The Vikings send five or more rushers on 73% of dropbacks, more than any defense by a mile. Josh Allen has been one of the best in the league against it.

November 8, 2026

Carson Wentz vs. the Bills defense: short passes, sacks and risky throws
Carson Wentz starts for Minnesota. Here's where his tendencies meet the Bills defense's weak spots, and what we expect Monday.

November 5, 2026

Josh Allen, 2018 to now: what the data actually says
Nine seasons, three play-callers, every dropback. Through week 8 he leads the league in passing efficiency, and he's winning off script.

November 5, 2026

Is the Bills defense actually fixed?
The run defense improved. The pass defense collapsed. Seven games of evidence, opponent-adjusted.